SUSE Virtualization: VM Platform Ledger 2026 Scorecard
SUSE packages KubeVirt, Longhorn and Rancher with the field's most detailed roadmap, but much ships as experimental and data protection is weak.
Part of the VM Platform Ledger (edition 2026-09-30). How the scores work: methodology.
Snapshot
- Type: product
- Owner: SUSE (private, EQT-owned since Nov 2023 delisting)
- Engine: KubeVirt + Longhorn on RKE2, SUSE Linux Micro
- Licence: Apache-2.0, free download; optional SUSE subscription per physical server (up to 32 cores)
- Latest release: v1.9.0, 2026-09-16
- Next milestone: v1.9.1 due 2026-10-14; v1.10 due 2026-12-09 (Cluster API, IPv6, Longhorn v2 GA)
- Archetype: Upstream rider, open but still maturing
- Evidence grade: A. Dates, roadmap history (297 revisions) and milestones read from GitHub. No public price.
Scorecard
| Dimension | Score | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Capability today | 64.1 / 100 | higher is better |
| Momentum since end of 2022 | +16.3 points (2021 to 2022: +6.6) | higher is better |
| Credibility | 17.0 / 25 | higher is better |
| Commercial risk | 11.0 / 25 | lower is better |
| Technical lock-in | 11.5 / 25 | lower is better |
| Integrator fit | 11.5 / 20 | higher is better |
| AI leverage | 8.5 / 20 | higher is better |
| Ledger Index | 61.1 / 100 | balanced weights; see the methodology |
Capability by domain, 2015 to today
Scores 0 to 5 against fixed anchors; total is weighted to 100.
| Domain (weight) | 2015 | 2019 | 2022 | Today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compute core (15) | n/a | n/a | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Storage (12) | n/a | n/a | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Networking / SDN (10) | n/a | n/a | 2 | 3.5 |
| Data protection / DR (12) | n/a | n/a | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Migration-in (8) | n/a | n/a | 2 | 3 |
| GPU / AI (10) | n/a | n/a | 1.5 | 3 |
| Kubernetes (8) | n/a | n/a | 4 | 4 |
| Security / confidential (8) | n/a | n/a | 1.5 | 3 |
| Fleet / multi-site (9) | n/a | n/a | 2.5 | 3 |
| Automation / ecosystem (8) | n/a | n/a | 3 | 3 |
| Total / 100 | not released | not released | 47.8 | 64.1 |
Year by year: 2021: 41.2 · 2022: 47.8 · 2023: 51.6 · 2024: 57.0 · 2025: 60.5 · 2026: 64.1
What moved the score
| Year | Domain | Change | Points | Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Data protection / DR | 2 → 2.5 | +1.2 | v1.1: snapshots and clones |
| 2022 | GPU / AI | 0 → 1.5 | +3.0 | v1.1: PCI and GPU passthrough (experimental) |
| 2022 | Migration-in | 0.5 → 2 | +2.4 | v1.1: VMware and OpenStack importer add-on (no UI) |
| 2023 | Networking / SDN | 2 → 2.5 | +1.0 | v1.2: IP pools, load balancer, SR-IOV |
| 2023 | Security / confidential | 1.5 → 2.5 | +1.6 | v1.2: vTPM and Secure Boot |
| 2023 | Storage | 2.5 → 3 | +1.2 | v1.2: third-party CSI storage for data disks |
| 2024 | Compute core | 2.5 → 3 | +1.5 | v1.4: CPU pinning |
| 2024 | Fleet / multi-site | 2.5 → 3 | +0.9 | v1.3: two-node clusters with witness |
| 2024 | GPU / AI | 1.5 → 3 | +3.0 | v1.3: NVIDIA vGPU |
| 2025 | Compute core | 3 → 3.5 | +1.5 | v1.5/1.6: Arm GA; CPU and memory hotplug |
| 2025 | Security / confidential | 2.5 → 3 | +0.8 | v1.6: volume encryption GA |
| 2025 | Storage | 3 → 3.5 | +1.2 | v1.5: third-party boot disks; certified storage programme |
| 2026 | Migration-in | 2 → 3 | +1.6 | v1.9: importer UI; OVF source since v1.7 |
| 2026 | Networking / SDN | 2.5 → 3.5 | +2.0 | v1.8/1.9: L3 underlay; VPC networking features GA |
Direction, 2023 to 2026
Each release item carries one theme and one driver (V vision, C customer need, M market window, U upstream, P portfolio).
| Date | Item | Theme | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09 | v1.2: third-party storage for data disks | D2 Storage | C |
| 2023-09 | v1.2: vTPM and Secure Boot | D9 Security | C |
| 2024-03 | v1.3: Arm (tech preview) | D1 Core compute | V |
| 2024-03 | v1.3: NVIDIA vGPU | D6 AI/GPU infrastructure | C |
| 2024-03 | v1.3: two-node clusters with witness | D10 Fleet/edge | C |
| 2024-11 | Renamed SUSE Virtualization | D12 Packaging | P |
| 2024-11 | v1.4: CPU pinning, scheduled backups | D4 Data protection | C |
| 2024-12 | Veeam Kasten support | D11 Ecosystem openness | M |
| 2025-03 | Certified storage programme (Dell, NetApp, HPE, Portworx) | D11 Ecosystem openness | M |
| 2025-04 | Community vs supported build split | D12 Packaging | P |
| 2025-04 | v1.5: third-party boot storage | D2 Storage | M |
| 2025-08 | v1.6: CPU and memory hotplug | D1 Core compute | C |
| 2025-08 | v1.6: VPC networking add-on, 'NSX-like' (experimental) | D3 Networking | M |
| 2025-12 | v1.7: MIG-backed vGPU | D6 AI/GPU infrastructure | C |
| 2025-12 | v1.7: OVF import, NIC hotplug | D5 Migration-in | M |
| 2025-12 | v1.7: SL Micro 6 base and KubeVirt rebase | D12 Packaging | U |
| 2026-04 | v1.8: L3 underlay, Harvester RBAC roles | D3 Networking | C |
| 2026-04 | v1.8: storage live migration | D2 Storage | C |
| 2026-09 | v1.9: GPU for container workloads | D8 Kubernetes | V |
| 2026-09 | v1.9: migration tool UI | D5 Migration-in | M |
| 2026-09 | v1.9: parallel live migrations | D1 Core compute | C |
| 2026-10 | MCP server for SUSE's assistant (planned for 1.9.1) | D7 AI-assisted ops | V |
- Centre of gravity: Storage (3), Core compute (3), Packaging (3)
- Blind spots (no items): none
- Driver mix: Vision 14%, Customer need 45%, Market window 27%, Upstream 5%, Portfolio 9%
- Idea-to-need index: 0.16 (0 = demand-pulled, 1 = thesis-pushed)
Credibility: 17.0 / 25
| Criterion | Score | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Cadence | 3.5 | April/August/December since v1.5, hit 4 of 5; several patch milestones closed without a release |
| Roadmap transparency | 4.5 | Public roadmap with target versions and ETAs, open milestones, experimental-feature status page |
| Say-do | 3 | 60% of 110 listed items shipped in the version listed, 70% within 12 months; 15% dropped, mostly 2023-24; many shipped experimental |
| Velocity | 4 | Several capabilities per release |
| Lifecycle stability | 2 | About 18 months per minor from the first supported patch; x.y.0 unsupported; 'upgrade not recommended' at 1.9.0 |
Commercial risk: 11.0 / 25 (lower is better)
| Criterion | Score | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Price and licence volatility | 2 | Renamed 2024; community vs supported build split 2025; no price history found |
| Purchase constraints | 1.5 | Free to run; subscription per server up to 32 cores; entitlement scope documented inconsistently |
| Channel and access | 1.5 | Open download; SUSE One partner programme; no public price |
| Owner stability | 3 | Private-equity owned since the 2023 delisting |
| Cost of staying supported | 3 | Three minors a year, about 18 months support each, previous-minor-only upgrades |
Technical lock-in: 11.5 / 25 (lower is better)
| Criterion | Score | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Formats | 1.5 | Raw Longhorn volumes; KubeVirt YAML |
| Export path | 3 | No export or migrate-out tool; volumes exported one by one |
| Stack coupling | 3.5 | Fixed appliance stack; Longhorn always installed; backup only for Longhorn volumes |
| Hardware / cloud coupling | 1 | Any x86 or Arm server; air-gap supported |
| Skills and tooling coupling | 2.5 | Kubernetes and Rancher skills |
Integrator fit: 11.5 / 20
| Criterion | Score | Basis |
|---|---|---|
| Partner programme openness | 3 | SUSE One specializations; terms unpublished |
| Multi-tenancy and self-service | 3 | Rancher projects, quotas, VPCs; Harvester RBAC roles still experimental |
| API and infrastructure-as-code | 3 | Kubernetes API and Terraform; no Ansible collection |
| Skills and certification | 2.5 | SCA exam exists; small skills pool |
AI leverage: 8.5 / 20
How the platform uses AI, scored per year like capability. Only GA counts.
| Criterion | 2019 | 2022 | Today | Latest step |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI workload infrastructure | n/a | 1 | 3 | 2025: v1.7: MIG-backed vGPU; not in NVIDIA's support matrices |
| AI platform stack | n/a | 0 | 2.5 | 2024: SUSE AI (separate Rancher bundle, runs on Kubernetes) |
| AI-assisted operations | n/a | 0 | 1 | 2026: Liz assistant GA for Rancher, but not yet able to manage Harvester VMs |
| Agent openness | n/a | 2 | 2 | 2021: Kubernetes API; Harvester MCP server only a dev build, due 1.9.1 |
Year by year: 2021: 2 · 2022: 3 · 2023: 3 · 2024: 7.0 · 2025: 7.5 · 2026: 8.5
AI say-do, 2023 to 2026: 8 AI items announced; 5 GA, 1 still preview, 1 pending, 0 dropped. One more is available with unclear maturity. The MCP server slipped once, from 1.9.0 to 1.9.1.
SUSE has the parts (GPU sharing, an AI bundle, an assistant) but has not yet joined them to VMs: the assistant cannot manage Harvester until its MCP server ships. GPU support arrived late against the roadmap and NVIDIA does not list the platform.
Reading
SUSE assembles upstream parts (KubeVirt, Longhorn, RKE2, Rancher) into an appliance and publishes the most detailed roadmap in the field, with a record that improves every year. It has closed many basic gaps since 2023, but a lot of it shipped as experimental and data protection is still the weakest domain: backup covers only the bundled storage, and replication has been planned since 2022. It is cheap and easy to try, with free software and a per-server subscription, but it is not yet a like-for-like VMware replacement for DR-heavy estates.
Open questions and items to re-score
- v1.9.0 release notes say upgrading is not recommended until 1.9.1 (VMs shut down during upgrade).
- Backup and restore only work for Longhorn volumes; third-party storage backup is planned for 1.10.
- No published maximum cluster size and no public price.
- SUSE's support matrix and a SUSE staff answer disagree on whether Longhorn and Rancher are in the subscription.
Related reading
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